{"id":3264,"date":"2025-11-04T13:19:31","date_gmt":"2025-11-04T13:19:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/menamagazine.com\/?p=3264"},"modified":"2025-11-04T13:19:31","modified_gmt":"2025-11-04T13:19:31","slug":"north-africa-is-emerging-as-a-growth-engine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/themena.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/04\/north-africa-is-emerging-as-a-growth-engine\/","title":{"rendered":"North Africa is emerging as a growth engine"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>North Africa is emerging as a growth engine, led by Morocco and Egypt. But structural challenges persist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This year again, North Africa is the fastest growing region in Africa and the Arab world. Combined GDP growth in Mauritania, Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya is expected to reach 4% in 2025, compared to 3.9% for the rest of the continent and 2% in the Middle East, according to the International Monetary Fund.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They aim to keep the trend going. Despite differing economic trajectories, the six countries have signed multiple agreements over the years to boost trade. Chronic political tensions have limited the impact of these deals, and North Africa is far from being a unified market. But there is still growth potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2023, Egypt\u2019s exports to North Africa reached a record $3.5 billion, or 9% of total exports. Trade with Morocco has nearly doubled over the past decade and Libya is Egypt\u2019s largest regional export market, with many Egyptian companies playing a role in the war-torn country\u2019s reconstruction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In support of corporate activity, many of the region\u2019s local banks have established a cross-border footprint. Attijariwafa Bank, Morocco\u2019s leading institution, operates in Tunisia, Mauritania, and Egypt. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cMany Tunisian SMEs export to Libya and vice versa, and this sector holds strong growth potential,\u201d says Elyes Jebir, general director of BIAT, Tunisia\u2019s largest bank by assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For now, Europe is still the main trading partner for North African countries, but Morocco and Egypt are also increasingly looking south of the Sahara for new ventures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cOur added value is supplying safe and effective products at an affordable price,\u201d says Seif Yashar Helmy, director of international affairs at Pharco Pharmaceuticals, which ships 20% of its exports\u2014worth $9 million a year\u2014to other parts of Africa and expects strong growth in the coming years thanks to a new line of World Health Organization-approved mRNA vaccine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-egypt-and-morocco-lead-the-way\">Egypt And Morocco Lead The Way<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Egypt is by far North Africa\u2019s largest market with a population of over 110 million, half of whom are under 30. The country is emerging from a severe fiscal crisis that almost led to bankruptcy in 2024, but is expected to post a solid 3.8% GDP growth this year, according to the IMF. While the economy relies heavily on foreign support and imports, Cairo, Africa\u2019s largest city, has a strong industrial base across sectors including textiles, food processing, and automotive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pharco, Egypt\u2019s leading pharmaceutical maker, produces 1.7 million boxes of drugs a day. During last year\u2019s crisis, it had to scale back some production, but optimism is returning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe see the economy picking up, and prospects are good,\u201d says Helmy. Pharco recently invested $350,000 in Medoc, a clinic management startup. \u201cEgypt is underserved in healthcare, be it clinics, polyclinics, laboratories, imagery, and that opens opportunities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Recent reforms, including the floating of the Egyptian pound, have helped stabilize the economy and rekindled foreign investors\u2019 interest. Many local companies are seeking new global partners, and a robust pipeline of IPOs is expected on the Egyptian Stock Exchange.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe laws are becoming more flexible for foreigners to invest, and we see a lot of appetite for foreign direct investment [FDI] coming from Europe and the Gulf Cooperation Council,\u201d Helmy notes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Egypt also boasts some of Africa\u2019s largest banks and most successful financial innovators. Fawry and MNT Halan were among the region\u2019s first fintechs to reach $1 billion valuations. Today, Cairo is one of Africa\u2019s top three fintech hubs, home to hundreds of startups from giants like Paymob to emerging players such as Sahl and Kilivvr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For fintech entrepreneurs, structural challenges, from low financial literacy to currency devaluation, are creating space for innovation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s44650.pcdn.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Islam-Zekry-CIB-1024x683.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-72224\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Islam Zekry<\/strong>, group CFO and COO, CIB<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s a universal problem in our region, which is a lack of foreign currency, combined with rising inflation, shooting consumer price indices, and no investment products,\u201d says Ahmed Amer, CEO of Web3 tech provider EMURGO Labs. \u201cPeople basically only have two ways of investing their money, either in gold or in real estate.\u201d EMURGO has supported the launch of USDA, a stablecoin regulated by the US Securities and Exchange Commission that is pegged to the US dollar for trade finance and remittances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s really important that emerging economies start thinking outside of the box to develop new ways of attracting and preserving capital,\u201d Amer adds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traditional banks are moving in the same direction. \u201cWe\u2019re investing heavily in building a group-wide data infrastructure, not only in Egypt but across our African footprint,\u201d says Islam Zekry, group CFO and COO at Commercial International Bank (Egypt), the country\u2019s largest private bank. \u201cOne clear opportunity lies in streamlining KYC and compliance processes. By creating an integrated data warehouse and sharing verified customer intelligence across our markets, we expect to reduce the cost to serve by 20% to 30%. We aspire to be a platform that attracts capital, connects businesses, and delivers a new standard of banking experiences, all while being proudly rooted in Egypt.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Morocco is the second pillar of North Africa\u2019s economy. Decades of economic reforms encouraging private sector growth and infrastructure investment have turned the country into an FDI magnet. Today, Morocco is considered one of the best places in Africa to do business, with global giants including Procter &amp; Gamble, Unilever, Siemens, and AstraZeneca setting up factories and regional headquarters in the kingdom. Despite global headwinds, the IMF expects Morocco\u2019s GDP to grow 3.9% this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-tunisia-faces-headwings\">Tunisia Faces Headwings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Other North African countries present a different story.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mauritania, Algeria, and Libya remain largely shut off, rent-driven economies. In Tunisia, despite years of deep economic and financial turmoil, the government still has not enacted reforms that could unlock IMF support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last year, the Central Bank of Tunisia had to step in to bail out the economy, and the IMF projects growth for 2025 at just 1.4%. That said, the banking sector has held up relatively well. In March, Moody\u2019s upgraded Tunisia\u2019s sovereign debt rating to Caa1 from Caa2, citing the central bank\u2019s ability to maintain stable foreign exchange reserves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cResults for 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 demonstrate the resilience of Tunisian banks,\u201d argues BIAT\u2019s Jebir. \u201cI believe we can expect progress in Tunisia\u2019s next reviews, which would have a positive knock-on effect for banks\u2019 ratings. This would enable us to expand further internationally without being constrained.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tunisia\u2019s banking model is still largely brick-and-mortar, but modernization efforts are underway. This year, the government passed laws restricting the use of paper checks and encouraging digital payments. Jebir sees an opportunity in the shift.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe are developing a wide range of digital solutions for both retail and corporate clients,\u201d he says. \u201cAt the same time, we are reshaping our branch network into advisory and expertise centers, providing added value beyond the traditional services of a bank.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A fintech ecosystem is emerging, with startups such as mobile wallet Floucy, but international investors remain cautious.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s tough to operate there,\u201d says Amer, who has supported Tunisian startups in the past. \u201cI mean, it\u2019s very hard to attract FDI when your fiscal and monetary policy doesn\u2019t provide any confidence to the investors, right?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-looking-south\">Looking South<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As their own economies improve, North African companies are looking south for expansion, supported by their banks. Moroccan lenders now operate across the continent; Bank of Africa, Attijariwafa, and BCP Group cover more than 25 African countries, from Senegal to Ethiopia. Egyptian banks, including CIB and Banque Misr, are following trade corridors in East Africa using Kenya as a regional base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re enhancing SME lending through digital partnerships, leveraging the country\u2019s well-developed ecosystem,\u201d says CIB\u2019s Zekry. \u201cWe\u2019re also advancing digital channels to scale access and deepen client engagement, reflecting our broader model of localized innovation with regional consistency.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Zekry also sees growth potential in climate finance. \u201cAs we expand across Africa, a significant share of our growth will come from transitional finance, particularly in agricultural and underserved communities. We\u2019re introducing specialized services in these areas, not just as a development goal but because they make strong business sense.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cross-border trade, industrial strength, and financial innovation are opening new opportunities throughout North Africa, but structural issues remain. \u201cThe potential is massive, but reforms need to continue and the capacity to introduce new technologies will be critical,\u201d Amer observes. If these elements align, North Africa could realize its aspiration to become a strategic hub connecting Europe, the Middle East, and sub-Saharan Africa.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>North Africa is emerging as a growth engine, led by Morocco and Egypt. But structural challenges persist. This year again, North Africa is the fastest&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3265,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[38,15,47,16,43,44,4,7,354],"tags":[22,29,78,213,41,433],"class_list":["post-3264","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa","category-business","category-energy","category-finance","category-food","category-health","category-international","category-mena","category-morocco","tag-business","tag-egypt","tag-finance","tag-moroccan","tag-morocco","tag-tunis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>North Africa is emerging as a growth engine - The MENA News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"North Africa is emerging as a growth engine, led by Egypt and Morocco. 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